The ingredients for a storm to develop in the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southern Gulf of Mexico are coming together more or less as expected. On the current schedule, a storm will develop midweek and track toward the northern Gulf or the west coast of Florida.

Long-range computer forecast models continue to show the possibility of some kind of tropical development next week in the western Caribbean Sea.

A​ tropical storm is expected to form in the northwest Caribbean Sea or southern Gulf of Mexico and eventually head toward either Florida or the northern Gulf Coast late this week, but details on its potential intensity,

There is now a broader consensus among the various computer forecast models that a tropical system will develop in the western Caribbean or the southern Gulf of Mexico and track toward the Gulf Coast next week.